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>> Pre-Conference: APPROACHES & METHODS
>> Main Conference: FORESIGHT & IMPACT
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Pre-Conference:
ADVANCING FUTURE EXPERTISE
Approaches & Methods
Sunday, 10 July 2005
| 13.00h | Speed dating | Rohit Talwar, Advisory Board |
| 13.20h | Opening Welcome address |
Pero Micic, President Advisory Board European Futurists Conference |
| SUPPLY AND DEMAND Futuring is More than Strategic Planning Chair: Pero Micic, President Advisory Board | ||
| 13.45h | What We Need to Know About the Future  |
Patrik Sallner, Head of Insight & Foresight Nokia |
| 14.05h | The Spirit of the Future How does Forecasting influence business, politics and minds? |
Matthias Horx, Futurist |
| 14.40h | Potential and Limitations of Futuring Round Table |
Johan Peter Paludan Prof. Dr. Markku Wilenius Matthias Horx Patrik Sallner |
| 15.30h | Coffee break | |
| METHODS How Futurists Actually Tell the Future - Improving Theory Chair: Prof. Erzsébet Nováky, Vice President Advisory Board | ||
| 16.00h | "Unblackboxing" methodological myths |
Dr. Marjolein van Asselt, Faculty of Arts and Culture, Maastricht University |
| 16.30h | Applying Principles of Systems Theory in Scenario Planning - What is the added value? |
Prof. Roland W. Scholz, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH Dr. Arnim Wiek, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, ETH |
| REALITY (Breakout sessions part 1) Empowering Organisations with Future Intelligence Chair: Rohit Talwar, Member Advisory Board | ||
| 17.00h | Short Presentations of the Breakout sessions | |
| 17.30h | Parallel Breakout sessions | |
| Case 1: Government of Liechtenstein Establishing a national foresight programme in a small state: how to establish the Foresight Programme for Liechtenstein? |
Case presenter: Dr. Tino Quaderer, Head of Zukunftsbüro of the Government of Liechtenstein | |
| Case 2: Swisscom Innovations How to create a vision for a complete Industry: What is the best methodology to create a 10-years ahead vision for a specific industry such as ICT world? |
Case Presenter: Nicolas Maesani, Project Leader, Swisscom Innovations | |
| Case 3: InterNutrition Agriculture in Europe in the year 2025: what are the driving forces of further developments for the agriculture? |
Case Presenter: Dr. Arthur Einsele, Senior Advisor InterNutrition | |
| Case 4: OECD What kind of long term tangible infrastructure do the OECD Countries need in order to generate social and economic benefits |
Case Presenter: Dr. Pierre-Alain Schieb, Head FutureProjects OECD International Future Programme | |
| Case 5: Swiss Re Risk perception in the future: will the young generation treat technology-related risks more utilitarian than their parent generation? |
Case Presenter: Dr. Rolf Tanner, Head Socio-Political Risk Research, Swiss Re Christina Ulardic, Swiss Re | |
| Future Seminar: Creative Man |
The Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies | |
| 18.30h | End of 1st day | |
| 19.30h | Futurists Reception Hotel Schweizerhof Welcome addresses by |
Prof. Eleonora Barbieri Masini, Representative of World Futures Studies Federation |
Monday, 11 July 2005
| 08.20h | Short plenary sessions | |
| 08.30h | REALITY (Breakout sessions part II) Empowering Organisations with Future Intelligence |
|
| 10.30h | Coffee break | |
| FUTURES STUDIES Chair: Dr. Wendy Schultz | ||
| 11.00h | Cutting Edge Methods of Foresight in the Futures Study Programs - Corvinus University Budapest (Hungary) - Conservatoire Nationale des Arts et Metiers CNAM (France) - Gregorian University (Italy) - Turku School of Economics and Business Administration (Finland) |
Prof. Erzsébet Nováky N.N. Prof. Eleonora Barbieri Masini Prof. Markku Wilenius |
| 11.45h | End of the Pre-Conference | |
*) to be confirmed
The programme is subject to modification
Main Conference:
BUSINESS GAINS FROM FUTURE THINKING
Foresight & Impact
Monday, 11 July 2005
| 14.15h | Opening | Georges T. Roos, Managing Director European Futurists Conference Lucerne |
| 14.20h | Welcome notes: | Urs W. Studer, Mayor City of Lucerne Pierre-Alain Schieb, Future Programme OECD |
| FUTURE VISION Knowing the Unknowable - What We Really Can Tell About the Future Chair: Rohit Talwar, Advisory Board | ||
| 14.30h | Take Hold of Your Future - Key Trends Affecting the Future of Your Business and Personal Life Organisational Intelligence in a Digital Age |
Dr. Patrick Dixon, Chairman Global Change Ltd Dr. Michael Jackson, Founder and Chairman Shaping Tomorrow |
| 16.00h | Coffee break | |
| 16.30h | CRITICALLY EVALUATING FORECASTS |
Prof. Adam Gordon, INSEAD |
| FUTURE CHANGE The Future Is Not What You Think it Is Chair: Ute von Reibnitz, Advisory Board | ||
| 17.00h | Making Change Happen: Futures literacy for the 21st Century |
Riel Miller, Associate, Demos, London, Senior Visiting Fellow, Danish Technological Institute |
| 17.45h | How Europe can Prosper from a Global Demographic Dividend |
Bo Malmberg, Institute for Futures Studies, Uppsala University |
| 18.30h | End of 1st day | |
| 19.30h | Dinner Hotel Schweizerhof Speech: Science Fiction - lab of the Future |
Karlheinz Steinmüller, Sci-Fi Autor, Futurist, Z_Punkt The Foresight Company |
Tuesday, 12 July 2005
| 08.30h | Introduction of 2nd day Questionnaire |
Pero Micic |
| FUTURE TOOLS Foresight Forming Better Decisions Chair: Dr. Michael Jackson, Advisory Board | ||
| 08.45h | UK Government Horizon scanning – improving the anticipatory capability, developing a guide in shaping “the day after tomorrow" |
Rohit Talwar, programme manager of Horizon Scanning Unit, Defra (UK government) |
| 09.20h | Siemens Managing Innovation in High Technology with Scenario Technique |
Dr. Heinrich Stuckenschneider, Vice President Corporate Technology and Head Strategic Marketing Siemens AG |
| 10.00h | Coffee break | |
| 10.30h | Future Concept Lab The Six Trends in the Future of Consumption and the Methodologies to Conceive them Trend analysis |
Francesco Morace, president Future Concept Lab, Milano |
| 11.05h | Booz Allen Hamilton Dynamic Simulation - case studies: HIV/AIDS in India Market Entry Strategy into the UMTS World |
Dr. Daniel F. Oriesek, Head of European Recruitment, Booz Allen Hamilton, Zürich Raffael Jovine, Senior Associate Booz Allen Hamilton Global Health team, London |
| 11.45h | Lunch break | |
| FUTURE ACTION What We Need to Do Today for Tomorrow Chair: Prof. Prabhu Guptara, Executive Director Organisational Development, Wolfsberg (UBS) | ||
| 14.15h | Visioning exercise | Dr. Wendy Schultz |
| 14.30h | Europe 2020: Chances and Risk Future Agenda panel |
Ged Davis, Managing Director World Economic Forum (WEF) Charles Kleiber, State Secretary of Education and Research Prof. Norbert Walter, Chief Economist Deutsche Bank |
| 15.45h | Presentation for Questionnaire results
Future Declaration Conference findings |
|
| 16.00h | End of the Conference | |
*) to be confirmed
The programme is subject to modification
